Cookies on this website

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you click 'Accept all cookies' we'll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies and you won't see this message again. If you click 'Reject all non-essential cookies' only necessary cookies providing core functionality such as security, network management, and accessibility will be enabled. Click 'Find out more' for information on how to change your cookie settings.

Although every emerging infectious disease occurs in a unique context, the behaviour of previous pandemics offers an insight into the medium- and long-term outcomes of the current threat. Where an informative historical analogue exists, epidemiologists and policymakers should consider how the insights of the past can inform current forecasts and responses.

Original publication




Journal article


Hist Philos Life Sci

Publication Date





COVID 19, Epidemiologic methods, Epidemiology, History/epidemiolgy, Models, Statistical, COVID-19, Epidemiology, History, 19th Century, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, Humans, Influenza, Human, Models, Theoretical, Pandemics