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BACKGROUND: Clinical trials of treatments for serious infections commonly use the primary endpoint of all-cause mortality. However, many trial participants survive their infection and this endpoint may not truly reflect important benefits and risks of therapy. The win ratio uses a hierarchical composite endpoint that can incorporate and prioritize outcome measures by relative clinical importance. METHODS: The win ratio methodology was applied post hoc to outcomes observed in the MERINO trial, which compared piperacillin-tazobactam with meropenem. We quantified the win ratio with a primary hierarchical composite endpoint, including all-cause mortality, microbiological relapse, and secondary infection. A win ratio of 1 would correspond to no difference between the 2 antibiotics, while a ratio <1 favors meropenem. Further analyses were performed to calculate the win odds and to introduce a continuous outcome variable in order to reduce ties. RESULTS: With the hierarchy of all-cause mortality, microbiological relapse, and secondary infection, the win ratio estimate was 0.40 (95% confidence interval [CI], .22-.71]; P = .002), favoring meropenem over piperacillin-tazobactam. However, 73.4% of the pairs were tied due to the small proportion of events. The win odds, a modification of the win ratio accounting for ties, was 0.79 (95% CI, .68-.92). The addition of length of stay to the primary composite greatly minimized the number of ties (4.6%) with a win ratio estimate of 0.77 (95% CI, .60-.99; P = .04). CONCLUSIONS: The application of the win ratio methodology to the MERINO trial data illustrates its utility and feasibility for use in antimicrobial trials.

More information Original publication

DOI

10.1093/cid/ciae050

Type

Journal article

Publication Date

2024-06-14T00:00:00+00:00

Volume

78

Pages

1482 - 1489

Total pages

7

Keywords

antimicrobial resistance, bloodstream infections, hierarchical composite outcome, randomized controlled trial, win ratio, Humans, Meropenem, Piperacillin, Tazobactam Drug Combination, Anti-Bacterial Agents, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Piperacillin, Klebsiella Infections, Bacteremia, Escherichia coli, Escherichia coli Infections, Penicillanic Acid, Ceftriaxone, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Thienamycins, Aged, Treatment Outcome